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Updated: January 29th, 2014 11:07am
Wetmore: Does the Wolves' 0-10 record in games at .500 mean anything?

Wetmore: Does the Wolves' 0-10 record in games at .500 mean anything?

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by Derek Wetmore
1500ESPN.com

The Wolves spent 15 games above .500 to open the year. The most recent time above the threshold was Nov. 25, when the Wolves lost in Indianapolis to a better Pacers team.

This year's Wolves team is becoming notorious for its won-loss record in games decided by four points or fewer, and for its inability to get over the proverbial hump of a .500 record.

Minnesota has had exactly a .500 record 10 times this season and is 0-10 in games trying to break the imagined seal.

As a society, we like playing with round numbers. We work in numbers of base 10, so let's have fun with stats. I joked on the air recently with Phil Mackey and our Wolves columnist, Zach Harper, that you can look at these records two ways:

1)      The Wolves are on pace to lose all their games in this season, when they enter with a    .500 record.

2)      The Wolves are due to win this next game because it's statistically unlikely they keep  flipping a coin and getting heads.

Both assessments are, of course, oversimplified and inaccurate. I was just having a little fun with statistics. For example, some of those games were against better teams that you'd expect to beat the Wolves more often than not. Some came in the second night of a back-to-back for Minnesota, which reduces the expectation of a win. We can draw very little from the previous 10 outcomes that will help us predict tonight's game against the Pelicans, a team many would expect the Wolves to beat at home.

But for the menacing curse of the .500 record.

Here are the results of games they've entered with a .500 record:

Date

Record

Opponent

Outcome

Nov. 27

8-8

Denver Nuggets

L 117-110

Dec. 1

9-9

Oklahoma City Thunder

L L113-103

Dec. 13

11-11

San Antonio Spurs

L 117-110

Dec. 16

12-12

Boston Celtics

L 101-97

Dec. 20

13-13

L.A. Lakers

L 104-91

Dec. 30

15-15

Dallas Mavericks

L 100-98

Jan. 4

16-16

Oklahoma City Thunder

L 115-111

Jan. 8

17-17

Phoenix Suns

L 104-103

Jan. 12

18-18

San Antonio Spurs

L 104-86

Jan. 25

21-21

Portland Trail Blazers

L 115-104

Jan. 29

22-22

New Orleans Pelicans

????????

Bold letters denote home game

What do you think, Wolves fans? Will tonight be the night that gets them over the hump in games sitting on .500?  

Derek Wetmore is the senior editor for 1500ESPN.com. His previous stops include MLB.com and the Minnesota Daily.
Email Derek | @DerekWetmore
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